In less than 12 hours, Hurricane Roslyn advanced from category 1 to category 4. That means that, according to the Saffir-Simpson scale, Roslyn now has the potential for ” catastrophic damage ” and that there is “a high risk of personal injury and death ” due to debris and falling objects.
Roslyn is, with a cutoff at noon on October 22, 240 kilometers from Manzanillo, Colima, and 275 kilometers south-southwest of Cabo Corrientes. Conagua is projected to make landfall on Sunday, October 23. It will produce extraordinary rains in Jalisco, torrential in Colima and Nayarit, and intense in Michoacán.
In addition, Rosly will cause waves of up to 150 kilometers per hour and waves of five to seven meters in Jalisco. It will also wreak havoc on the coasts of Colima and Nayarit, where waves of up to 100 kilometers per hour and waves of three to five meters are expected; in Michoacán the winds will be up to 70 kilometers per hour, and the waves from two to four meters high.
Conagua warns that among the risks are the overflow of rivers and streams, overflows, and landslides.
Civil Protection has a site to consult the level of risk according to each population. In total there are 413 alerted municipalities that are distributed throughout 10 states. The map is constantly updated and, at the moment, it looks like this:
This is the predicted trajectory for Roslyn
The colors indicate different alert levels and different recommendations to follow. For the areas in red, it is suggested to have total protection. In orange the evacuation of risk areas is recommended, in yellow possible temporary shelters are prepared, in green state and municipal coordination and communication centers are installed and an inventory of material and human resources is made in case of emergency, and in blue only internal communications procedures are activated.
Hurricane season began on May 15. All of them are classified according to the Saffir Simpson wind scale. Broadly speaking, the scale is as follows:
|SUSTAINED WINDS SPEEDS FOR ONE MINUTE||ABSTRACT|
|CATEGORY 1||119-153km/h||Dangerous winds will cause some damage. People, livestock, and pets can be injured or killed by flying debris.|
|CATEGORY 2||154-177km/h||Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage. In addition to the above risk, mobile homes have a high risk of being destroyed.|
|CATEGORY 3||178-209km/h||Devastating damage can occur. In addition to the above risks, almost all mobile homes will be destroyed and there will be a high percentage of damage to buildings.|
|CATEGORY 4||210-249km/h||Catastrophic damage will occur. In addition to the above risks, most windows of tall buildings will be blown out, resulting in glass falling, so the threat extends for days or weeks.|
|CATEGORY 5||More than 249km/h||Catastrophic damage will occur. A large amount of thrown debris is expected to fly through the air and become dangerous projectiles. Blackouts can last for weeks or months.|
Hurricane Orlene made landfall Oct. 3 a little farther north in roughly the same region, about 45 miles (75 kilometers) southeast of the resort of Mazatlan.